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Productivity and the Bonus Culture$
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Andrew Smithers

Print publication date: 2019

Print ISBN-13: 9780198836117

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: May 2019

DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198836117.001.0001

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The Added Impact of Misinformation

The Added Impact of Misinformation

Chapter:
(p.80) 15 The Added Impact of Misinformation
Source:
Productivity and the Bonus Culture
Author(s):

Andrew Smithers

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/oso/9780198836117.003.0015

Growth has suffered from a rise in hurdle rates, due to the change in management incentives, probably amplified by misleading publicity about the cost of equity capital, which is commonly claimed to be a multiple of the real cost. The bonus culture encourages managements to misrepresent RoEs, so in bad times companies publish abysmal rather than merely bad profits, with the result that subsequent profits are overstated. The swings from understated to overstated increase published profit volatility. After being similar for fifty years, published profits have since 2000 become four times more volatile than national account profits. Claims that low investment and high margins are due to increased monopoly are shaky. The bonus culture is a better explanation as, among other things, it also accounts for the different levels of investment by quoted and unquoted companies and for the increased volatility of published profits.

Keywords:   bonus culture, cost of equity, RoE, net worth, inflation, write-offs, volatility, national accounts, competition

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