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Crony Capitalism in the Middle EastBusiness and Politics from Liberalization to the Arab Spring$
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Ishac Diwan, Adeel Malik, and Izak Atiyas

Print publication date: 2019

Print ISBN-13: 9780198799870

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: July 2019

DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198799870.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.oxfordscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2020. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use. date: 03 June 2020

Elections and Economic Cycles

Elections and Economic Cycles

What Can We Learn from the Recent Turkish Experience?

Chapter:
(p.291) 10 Elections and Economic Cycles
Source:
Crony Capitalism in the Middle East
Author(s):

Çağatay Bircan

Orkun Saka

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/oso/9780198799870.003.0011

This chapter studies the presence of political cycles in Turkey’s recent economic history. It first discusses the incentives and the ability of the central government to engage in opportunistic behavior to boost economic activity around local elections. It then describes how the tools available to the government on the fiscal and banking fronts have changed since the 2001 crisis. The chapter documents suggestive evidence that state-owned banks engage in selective lending in the run-up to local elections when compared with private banks. This selective lending seems to favor provinces where the governing party faces greater competition from the opposition. There is less evidence regarding fiscal spending. The chapter discusses the implications of politically motivated policies on financial inclusion and aggregate efficiency.

Keywords:   Political cycles, state-owned banks, fiscal spending, elections, local government

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