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Raise the DebtHow Developing Countries Choose Their Creditors$
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Jonas B. Bunte

Print publication date: 2019

Print ISBN-13: 9780190866167

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: February 2019

DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190866167.001.0001

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Measuring Borrowing Portfolios and Group Strength

Measuring Borrowing Portfolios and Group Strength

(p.156) 8 Measuring Borrowing Portfolios and Group Strength
Raise the Debt

Jonas B. Bunte

Oxford University Press

This chapter describes how data for the statistical analysis were obtained. First, the dependent variable captures countries’ borrowing portfolios, that is, the share of loans obtained from a particular type of creditor. The main difficulty lies in obtaining reliable data on loan inflows from emerging creditors, such as China. In contrast to existing approaches focused on loan outflows from China, this book instead collects information on the loan inflows as recorded in the budgets of recipient countries. Second, the key independent variable is the type of societal coalition. The relative political strength of Labor, Industry, and Finance determines which type of coalition is present. However, their relative political influence cannot be observed directly. The chapter describes how proxies were derived by combining information about the groups’ ability to overcome collective action problems with their importance to the domestic economy.

Keywords:   dependent variable, borrowing portfolio, Chinese loan data, independent variable, interest group strength, collective action problem, unobservable information

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