Putting Relative Advantage to the Test
Putting Relative Advantage to the Test
State-Level Republican Growth in the Modern American South
This chapter provides the first extensive empirical assessment of the theory of relative advantage. A panel Granger analysis based on nearly five decades of state-level data demonstrates that black mobilization influenced Republican growth in each of the Southern states. The chapter also includes results from time series cross-sectional analyses that clearly indicate that black mobilization played a more important role in the growth of Southern Republicanism than regional economic growth, black context, in-migration, or the growth of evangelicalism—all of which are competing explanations for GOP growth in the South. The analysis also demonstrates that the growing viability of Republican substate party organizations played a role in subsequent Republican growth in the electorate.
Keywords: panel Granger analysis, time series cross-section analysis, in-migration, economic growth, evangelicalism, party organization, republican growth
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