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Economic Aspects of Genocides, Other Mass Atrocities, and Their Preventions$
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Charles H. Anderton and Jurgen Brauer

Print publication date: 2016

Print ISBN-13: 9780199378296

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: August 2016

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199378296.001.0001

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From Pax Narcótica to Guerra Pública

From Pax Narcótica to Guerra Pública

Explaining Civilian Violence in Mexico’s Illicit Drug Wars

Chapter:
(p.452) 20 From Pax Narcótica to Guerra Pública
Source:
Economic Aspects of Genocides, Other Mass Atrocities, and Their Preventions
Author(s):

Neil T. N. Ferguson

Maren M. Michaelsen

Topher L. McDougal

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199378296.003.0020

The end of the so-called pax narcótica and the escalation of violence in Mexico’s drug war since 2007 has had devastating consequences for the civilian population. This chapter begins with a short history of the conflict, a discussion of the government’s strategy to fight drug trafficking organizations, an overview of current levels of violence, and evidence of violence targeting noncombatant civilians. The chapter then describes previous attempts to explicate the elevated homicide rates since 2007 and offers formal models that try to explain the behavior of organized crime groups. It then builds a cooperative game to explain first why the pax narcótica may have broken down, and second why that breakdown entailed so many civilian casualties.

Keywords:   civilian violence, drug war, cartels, cooperative game theory, Mexico

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