Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Intelligence Success and FailureThe Human Factor$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Rose McDermott and Uri Bar-Joseph

Print publication date: 2017

Print ISBN-13: 9780199341733

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: March 2017

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199341733.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.oxfordscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2019. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use. date: 14 November 2019

Surprise Attack

Surprise Attack

A Framework for Discussion

Chapter:
(p.9) Chapter 1 Surprise Attack
Source:
Intelligence Success and Failure
Author(s):

Uri Bar-Joseph

Rose McDermott

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199341733.003.0002

Beginning with a theoretical overview of surprise attacks, we discuss their important role in military strategy and success. We describe our case selection strategy, using criteria based on attacks that started a war, and subsequent events taken in response to those attacks. We discuss Roberta Wohlstetter’s pioneering and influential study of Pearl Harbor and describe the uniqueness of this case and why her argument about signal-to-noise ratio may be less relevant for other cases of intelligence failure. More often, high quality decision-making is impaired by specific obstacles in the psychological characteristics of leaders and the environments and organizations they structure.

Keywords:   surprise attack, strategic surprise, Pearl Harbor, intelligence success and failure, intelligence warning, warning failure

Oxford Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs , and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us .