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Transition and ChallengeChina's Population at the Beginning of the 21st Century$
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Zhongwei Zhao and Fei Guo

Print publication date: 2007

Print ISBN-13: 9780199299294

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: May 2007

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199299294.001.0001

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Below Replacement Fertility in Mainland China

Below Replacement Fertility in Mainland China

(p.54) 4 Below Replacement Fertility in Mainland China
Transition and Challenge

Zhigang Guo

Wei Chen

Oxford University Press

This chapter examines the fertility decline in mainland China since the 1970s. Using data from a wide range of sources, including the 2000 census and through linking recorded children to their mothers, it shows that China's Total Fertility Rate was likely to have fallen to 1.6 at the end of the 20th century. Useful information on changes in cohort fertility is provided through the examination of a tempo-adjusted Total Fertility Rate.

Keywords:   fertility decline, Total Fertility Rate, tempo-adjusted TFR, cohort fertility

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