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Changing FortunesIncome Mobility and Poverty Dynamics in Britain$
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Stephen P. Jenkins

Print publication date: 2011

Print ISBN-13: 9780199226436

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2011

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199226436.001.0001

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The Length of Time Spent Poor: Estimates from Hazard Regression Models

The Length of Time Spent Poor: Estimates from Hazard Regression Models

(p.291) 10 The Length of Time Spent Poor: Estimates from Hazard Regression Models
Changing Fortunes

Stephen P. Jenkins

Oxford University Press

This chapter uses multivariate hazard regression models to examine differences in people's experience of poverty over a period of time. For individuals who enter poverty, the total length of time that they spend in poverty subsequently depends on both the chances of exit from poverty and the chances of re-entry to poverty. Of all the individuals who fall into poverty, most of those in working-age couple households have relatively short poverty spells. Relatively long spells are experienced by lone parents and their children, and by pensioners. Among those who finish a poverty spell, lone parents and their children stand out as a group that become poor again relatively quickly. Combining these sorts of findings generates predictions of poverty persistence for individuals with different sets of characteristics.

Keywords:   poverty spells, poverty persistence, hazard regression model, poverty exit, poverty re-entry

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