Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Strategy and Defence PlanningMeeting the Challenge of Uncertainty$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Colin S. Gray

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780198701842

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: August 2014

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198701842.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.oxfordscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2019. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the licence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use (for details see www.oxfordscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy).date: 15 June 2019

Between Prudence and Paranoia

Between Prudence and Paranoia

(p.191) 7 Between Prudence and Paranoia
Strategy and Defence Planning

Colin S Gray

Oxford University Press

This chapter opens with the flagging of public mood as a distinctly unscientific and subjective factor that has an almost determinating influence on the level of effort that a government devotes to investment in defence preparation for the future. The chapter proceeds to explore the four leading qualities of menace that can attend defence planning: risk, threat, danger, and shock. It is understood that different societies with distinctive cultures both conceptualize and test candidate evidence empirically differently. However, while granting some potential significance to cultural uniqueness, the referents behind these concepts are common across time, geography, and circumstance. A sensing of risk and danger is human, irrespective of historical context and particular detail that is the cause of alarm. The chapter concludes by itemizing the ways in which a society should attempt to meet the challenge of uncertainty that is the defining burden laid at the door for defence planning.

Keywords:   public mood, risk, threat, danger, shock, prudence, uncertainty

Oxford Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs , and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us .