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Bayesian Nets and CausalityPhilosophical and Computational Foundations$
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Jon Williamson

Print publication date: 2004

Print ISBN-13: 9780198530794

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: September 2007

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198530794.001.0001

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TWO-STAGE BAYESIAN NETS

TWO-STAGE BAYESIAN NETS

Chapter:
(p.107) 6 TWO-STAGE BAYESIAN NETS
Source:
Bayesian Nets and Causality
Author(s):

Jon Williamson (Contributor Webpage)

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198530794.003.0006

Objective Bayesianism yields a justification of the causal Markov condition: in certain circumstances, the objective Bayesian net is just the causal net and so the causal net is an appropriate representation of rational degrees of belief. However, the resulting Bayesian net may not yield accurate enough predictions. This motivates a two-stage methodology for using Bayesian nets: first construct a causal net, then refine this net to better represent physical probability.

Keywords:   objective Bayesianism, causal Markov condition, two-stage methodology, causal net

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