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Altered StatesChanging Populations, Changing Parties, and the Transformation of the American Political Landscape$
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Thomas M. Holbrook

Print publication date: 2016

Print ISBN-13: 9780190269128

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: August 2016

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780190269128.001.0001

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The Changing Political Landscape

The Changing Political Landscape

(p.1) 1 The Changing Political Landscape
Altered States

Thomas M. Holbrook

Oxford University Press

This chapter begins by reviewing the current challenges faced by the Republic Party, in particular its long-term prospects in U.S. presidential elections. It considers the question of why the party finds itself at an increasing Electoral College disadvantage despite the fact that Republican states are growing at faster rates than Democratic states. It then presents descriptive evidence of the magnitude, direction, and consequences of changes in party support in presidential outcomes in the states. It shows that an important political transformation has occurred, a transformation reflected not just in Democratic victories at the national level but also, and more dramatically, a transformation of the geographic bases of Democratic and Republican success. A process (or processes) is underway that has pushed some states toward the Democratic Party, others toward the Republican Party, and had relatively little effect on several states that have barely budged over the past forty years.

Keywords:   Republicans, Republican Party, Democrats, presidential elections, political party support, geographic base, political change

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