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Elections, Parties, DemocracyConferring the Median Mandate$
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Michael D. McDonald and Ian Budge

Print publication date: 2005

Print ISBN-13: 9780199286720

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: February 2006

DOI: 10.1093/0199286728.001.0001

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Fluctuating Political Forces

Fluctuating Political Forces

Chapter:
(p.181) 11 Fluctuating Political Forces
Source:
Elections, Parties, Democracy
Author(s):

Michael D. McDonald (Contributor Webpage)

Ian Budge (Contributor Webpage)

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/0199286728.003.0011

Political variables (median voter and median parliamentary, government and ministry positions) change more radically and more quickly than policy outputs. This accounts for the lack of relationships previous studies have failed to find as we did, too, in chapters 8 and 9, between political changes and policy. However, political forces oscillate round stable equilibrium positions, which show a strong relationship to the policy regimes’ equilibria previously uncovered. In the long term, the responsiveness of the median parliamentary position to the median voter position is high, as is government position to MPP, and ministries to government position.

Keywords:   political fluctuations, median voter, MPP, governments, ministries, short term fluctuation, long term equilibria, responsiveness

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