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Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises$
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Jerome L. Stein

Print publication date: 2006

Print ISBN-13: 9780199280575

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: May 2006

DOI: 10.1093/0199280576.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.oxfordscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2019. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use. date: 18 October 2019

The NATREX model of the equilibrium real exchange rate

The NATREX model of the equilibrium real exchange rate

Chapter:
(p.89) 4 The NATREX model of the equilibrium real exchange rate
Source:
Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises
Author(s):

Jerome L. Stein (Contributor Webpage)

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/0199280576.003.0004

The NATREX is a model of the equilibrium real exchange rate, which is where the real exchange rate is heading. The NATREX model has two components: the long-run equilibrium real exchange rate and the dynamics of adjustment of the medium-run equilibrium to the long-run equilibrium. In the medium-run equilibrium, the ratio of the external debt/GDP is predetermined, and the real exchange rate is associated with both internal and external balance. The real exchange rate and debt ratio are endogenous variables. In full stock-flow equilibrium, the long run equilibrium real exchange rate and external debt ratio depend upon the vector of time varying fundamentals, which are productivity and thrift in the country relative to the rest of the world.

Keywords:   NATREX, equilibrium real exchange rate, dynamics of adjustment, medium-run equilibrium, internal balance, external balance, stock-flow equilibrium, productivity, thrift, external debt

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