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A Philosophical Guide to Conditionals$
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Jonathan Bennett

Print publication date: 2003

Print ISBN-13: 9780199258871

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003

DOI: 10.1093/0199258872.001.0001

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The Equation

The Equation

Chapter:
(p.45) 4 The Equation
Source:
A Philosophical Guide to Conditionals
Author(s):

Jonathan Bennett

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/0199258872.003.0004

The Ramsey test for indicative conditionals suggests that they are to be understood in terms of subjective probability. This concept is explained, and elements of probability logic expounded. Indicative conditionals are mostly zero intolerant, meaning that such a conditional is useless to someone who is really sure that its antecedent is false. The Equation is introduced: i.e. the thesis that your probability for ‘If A, C’ (indicative) is your conditional probability for C given A.

Keywords:   conditionals, indicative conditionals, Ramsey test, subjective probability

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