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The Book of Evidence$
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Peter Achinstein

Print publication date: 2001

Print ISBN-13: 9780195143898

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003

DOI: 10.1093/0195143892.001.0001

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Evidence, High Probability, and Belief

Evidence, High Probability, and Belief

Chapter:
(p.114) 6 Evidence, High Probability, and Belief
Source:
The Book of Evidence
Author(s):

Peter Achinstein (Contributor Webpage)

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/0195143892.003.0006

It is argued that evidence must supply a good reason for belief, and that the latter requires that the objective epistemic probability of the hypothesis on the evidence be greater than half. Conflicting views are examined and rejected, including a standard Bayesian view that associates probability with degrees of belief, the likelihood view of Richard Royall, Deborah Mayo's error‐statistical account, and a view of Mark Kaplan that divorces belief from probability.

Keywords:   Bayes, Bayesian, belief, error‐statistical, evidence, Kaplan, likelihood, Mayo, probability, reason for belief, Royall

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