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Philosophical Papers Volume II$
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David Lewis

Print publication date: 1987

Print ISBN-13: 9780195036466

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003

DOI: 10.1093/0195036468.001.0001

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Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities

Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities

Chapter:
(p.133) Twenty Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities
Source:
Philosophical Papers Volume II
Author(s):

David Lewis

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/0195036468.003.0005

In this paper, the view that probabilities of conditionals are conditional probabilities is rejected on the grounds that there is no satisfactory way of interpreting a conditional connective such that the probabilities of conditionals will equal appropriate conditional probabilities. The paper contains a postscript where the theory of indicative conditionals proposed is rejected, and an alternative theory developed by Jackson is endorsed instead.

Keywords:   assertability, conditionals, indicative conditionals, Frank Jackson, probability, Stalnaker

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