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Philosophical Papers Volume II$
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David Lewis

Print publication date: 1987

Print ISBN-13: 9780195036466

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003

DOI: 10.1093/0195036468.001.0001

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A Subjectivist's Guide to Objective Chance

A Subjectivist's Guide to Objective Chance

(p.83) Nineteen A Subjectivist's Guide to Objective Chance
Philosophical Papers Volume II

David Lewis

Oxford University Press

Formulates a principle about reasonable subjective probabilities conditional on propositions about objective probability in the single case. Consequences of the principle for objective probabilities and for the relation between objective and subjective probabilities are then considered. The paper contains four postscripts, dealing with objections and further issues arising from the principle.

Keywords:   chance, credence, determinism, laws, Principal principle, probability

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