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ConflictHow Soldiers Make Impossible Descisions$
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Neil D. Shortland, Laurence J. Alison, and Joseph M. Moran

Print publication date: 2019

Print ISBN-13: 9780190623449

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: February 2019

DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190623449.001.0001

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The Science of Selecting Least-Worst Options

The Science of Selecting Least-Worst Options

(p.34) 3 The Science of Selecting Least-Worst Options

Neil D. Shortland

Laurence J. Alison

Joseph M. Moran

Oxford University Press

This chapter presents the SAFE-T model of decision-making—a descriptive model that offers an innovative insight-generating platform through which the process of making military decisions can come into better focus. It is simpler than most models and thus quicker, pragmatically connected to the military decision-making process in terms of being phase-based, and supported by empirical evidence (as well as retaining components of experience and expertise). There are several more specific benefits to applying the SAFE-T model to military decision-making. One is that the phased nature of the SAFE-T model helps identify not only factors that influence the decision-making process but also how the current decision-making phase is influenced differentially by each factor.

Keywords:   least-worst decisions, naturalistic research, phase-based models, situational awareness, accountability, regret, uncertainty

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