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The Oxford Companion to the Economics of China$
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Shenggen Fan, Ravi Kanbur, Shang-Jin Wei, and Xiaobo Zhang

Print publication date: 2014

Print ISBN-13: 9780199678204

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: December 2014

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199678204.001.0001

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Farm size and long-term prospects for Chinese agriculture

Farm size and long-term prospects for Chinese agriculture

(p.309) 49 Farm size and long-term prospects for Chinese agriculture
The Oxford Companion to the Economics of China

Keijiro Kei Otsuka

Oxford University Press

This chapter examines the prospects for Chinese agriculture given increasing wage rates. Since farm size in China is extremely small and individual land ownership rights are absent, farm size expansion may not proceed at a pace sufficient to improve efficiency. Should China become a major importer of grains in future, world grain prices will soar and poverty is expected to worsen in low-income countries that import grain. The chapter considers whether lessons can be learnt from the experiences of Japan, Taiwan, and Korea. Small farm size continues to be a major stumbling block in China and it remains to be seen if the consolidation of village farmlands will be enough to prevent the potential tragic outcomes.

Keywords:   grain production, food supply, wage rates, agricultural policy, farms, imports

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