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Strategic ReframingThe Oxford Scenario Planning Approach$
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Rafael Ramírez and Angela Wilkinson

Print publication date: 2016

Print ISBN-13: 9780198745693

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: May 2016

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198745693.001.0001

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How scenario planning is done

How scenario planning is done

The OSPA in action

Chapter:
(p.112) 5 How scenario planning is done
Source:
Strategic Reframing
Author(s):

Rafael Ramírez

Angela Wilkinson

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198745693.003.0005

This chapter explains the OSPA methodology and describes method choices to help skilled practitioners to improve the effectiveness of scenario planning in practice. A major choice is between deductive and inductive building methods, with other options available. There is no “right method”—the choice depends on the purpose of the scenario-based intervention and how it fits the characteristics of the scenario learners and of their situation. This chapter outlines the roles of users and facilitators—both as learners—in a scenario planning intervention, and it explores eight aspects involved in designing an effective one. These begin with identifying the user(s); and defining purpose and intended use; continue through developing scenarios iteratively, engaging reframing and reperception with the scenarios; and end with the assessment of value, impact and effectiveness. It explores challenges involved in evaluation, which include addressing questions about this at the outset of the intervention.

Keywords:   methodology, method, purpose, learning, facilitators, intervention, time horizon

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