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A Conservative Revolution?Electoral Change in Twenty-First Century Ireland$
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Michael Marsh, David M. Farrell, and Gail McElroy

Print publication date: 2017

Print ISBN-13: 9780198744030

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: April 2017

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198744030.001.0001

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The Economy and the Vote in Irish National Elections

The Economy and the Vote in Irish National Elections

Chapter:
(p.28) 3 The Economy and the Vote in Irish National Elections
Source:
A Conservative Revolution?
Author(s):

Kevin M. Leyden

Michael S. Lewis-Beck

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198744030.003.0003

This chapter examines whether there is an Irish economic voter, directly comparable with his or her counterparts in other Western democracies. Starting with a review of the evidence of economic voting in previous Irish elections, this chapter assesses the strength of the economic vote in 2011 when the country was in the depths of economic crisis, thus making this a difficult test using cross-sectional survey data in a context in which everyone perceives a bad economy. Despite this, the analysis reveals that the impact of economic voting was at its greatest in 2011, adding further evidence to recent comparative findings that in hard times democratic governments are punished harder than in normal times for bad economic performance. The principal finding overall is that the Irish economic voter does exist and that this can be understood pretty much as economic voters can be understood in other Western democracies.

Keywords:   economic voting, economic crisis, Irish elections, popularity functions, vote functions, sociotropic voting, economics, elections

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