The Logic of Uncertainty
Since the subject of this book is probability, its meaning and its relevance for science and society, this chapter starts with a short explanation of how to go about the business of calculating probabilities for some simple examples. The focus is on how to use probability and the logic of uncertainty, rather than what it actually means. To keep things as simple as possible, examples from familiar games of chance are given. The simplest cases involve coin-tossing, rolls of a dice, drawing balls from an urn, and standard packs of playing cards. Here, an event is defined as some outcome of a random experiment.
Keywords: probability, uncertainty, games of chance, coin-tossing, dice rolling, playing cards, random experiment
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