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Armed Struggle and the Search for StateThe Palestinian National Movement, 1949-1993$
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Yezid Sayigh

Print publication date: 1999

Print ISBN-13: 9780198296430

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: October 2011

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198296430.001.0001

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The Lebanon War

The Lebanon War

(p.522) 22 The Lebanon War
Armed Struggle and the Search for State

Yezid Sayigh

Oxford University Press

By the end of May 1982, the PLO had a remarkably accurate picture of Israeli war plans. The PLO expected one of two scenarios. The first envisaged armoured attacks through Nabatiyya and Tyre linking up with amphibious landings at Qasmiyya or Zahrani, with heliborne or naval diversions at other points and a possible thrust towards Hasbayya. The IDF might also circle round Sidon to link up with a major troop landing at the Awwali river estuary to the north, and then drive towards a second beachhead at Damur. The PLO apparently viewed the latter option as unlikely. The PLO concluded that in either case the IDF would halt south of Sidon within five days, at which point the superpowers would impose a ceasefire and resume the peace process. This was a major misreading of Israeli and US aims, but otherwise the PLO accurately anticipated the IDF's plans.

Keywords:   PLO, Israeli war plan, Qasmiyya, Zahrani, IDF, Lebanon War

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