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The Freedom of the Will$
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J. R. Lucas

Print publication date: 1970

Print ISBN-13: 9780198243434

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: October 2011

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198243434.001.0001

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Prediction

Prediction

Chapter:
(p.30) §7 Prediction
Source:
The Freedom of the Will
Author(s):

J. R. LUCAS

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198243434.003.0007

Not every prediction poses a problem for freedom. Most of our actual predictions about human actions profess both to be fallible and to be dependent on the agent concerned. There is nearly always the implicit hedge ‘unless he changes his mind’. There are three conditions which predictions must fulfil before they pose a threat to freedom: they must be infallible; they must be based on a limited range of factors, outside the Agent's control; and they must be completely specific. Only those forms of determinism that claim to satisfy these conditions need worry us.

Keywords:   freedom, prediction, agent, determinism

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