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A Model of the UniverseSpace-Time, Probability, and Decision$
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Storrs McCall

Print publication date: 1996

Print ISBN-13: 9780198236221

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: October 2011

DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198236221.001.0001

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(p.140) 5 Probability
A Model of the Universe

Storrs McCall

Oxford University Press

This chapter is concerned with objective probability or objective chance. The entire branched model in fact can be regarded as embodying an inexhaustible variety of objective, de re probability values. This chapter explores the consequences of employing a branched definition of probability, and examines the similarities and differences between this approach and other theories of probability which philosophers have proposed and adopted. There are four main different conceptions of probability currently accepted by probability theorists: the logical, relative frequency, subjective, and propensity theories. This chapter surveys each of them briefly and then compares them with the branched interpretation.

Keywords:   probability, branched model, relative frequency, propensity theory, subjective theory, probability values, branched interpretation

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