Integrating Evaluation into High-Level Decision-Making
Strategic planning offers a natural setting to respond to information about performance. This chapter assesses whether the results in multiyear country program evaluations at the multilateral development banks promote selectivity in the allocation of environmental projects. In particular, country assistance strategies bring together information from these evaluations and a setting where donor countries have significant influence over future decisions about allocation. Because country program evaluations appeal to a high-level audience, integrate into decision-making about lending, and decrease the costs of searching for information about performance, many staff and managers expect them to impact future lending decisions. Despite these expectations, an analysis of lending provides little evidence that the recommendations in country program evaluations influence future decisions, except for projects with significant local benefits. These results confirm that the most important obstacle to selectivity is finding a party with influence over lending decisions, incentives to be selective, and the information to act on those incentives.
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