Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Epistemic Justification$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Richard Swinburne

Print publication date: 2001

Print ISBN-13: 9780199243792

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003

DOI: 10.1093/0199243794.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM OXFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.oxfordscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Oxford University Press, 2018. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the licence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in OSO for personal use (for details see www.oxfordscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy).date: 16 December 2018

(p.221) Appendix. Predictivism

(p.221) Appendix. Predictivism

Epistemic Justification

Richard Swinburne

Oxford University Press

Predictivism (or the historical theory of confirmation) is the view that evidence gives more support to a hypothesis if it was discovered after the hypothesis was formulated (for example, in the process of testing the hypothesis) rather than before the hypothesis was formulated. Given objective criteria (especially criteria of the relative simplicity of hypotheses) for how much evidence renders a hypothesis probable, predictivism is false. Nevertheless, we are more likely to find the kind of evidence that gives great probability to a hypothesis if we are looking for it and we only know what to look for when we have formulated the hypothesis. There are, however, very unusual situations in which the time at which evidence was discovered does affect the probability that it gives to a hypothesis.

Oxford Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs , and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us .