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The Existence of God$
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The Existence of God

Richard Swinburne

Print publication date: 1991

Print ISBN-13: 9780198239635

Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003

DOI: 10.1093/0198239637.001.0001

The Justification of Explanation

Chapter:
(p. 51 ) 3 The Justification of Explanation
Source:
The Existence of God
Author(s):

Richard Swinburne (Contributor Webpage)

Publisher:
Oxford University Press
DOI:10.1093/0198239637.003.0004

An explanatory hypothesis (whether of the personal or scientific kind) is probable insofar as it makes probable the occurrence of many observed phenomena, the occurrence of which is not probable otherwise and insofar as it is simple and fits with background knowledge. This account of the probability of hypothesis is given precise form by Bayes's Theorem.

Keywords:   Bayes's Theorem, explanation, probability, simplicity

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