Statistical Jokes and Social Effects
Intervention and Invariance in Causal Relations
The psychological literature on causation includes a variety of proposed analyses of causal relations: simple correlation, mental models, causal powers, etc. Each of these proposals is subject to everyday counterexamples. Correlation accounts confuse intervention with conditioning and yield statistical jokes; mental models fail to capture conditional information; races and voting present difficulties for causal power theories, as do existing philosophical accounts of causal relations among events.
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