Hume's Problem
Induction and the Justification of Belief
Howson, Colin Professor of Philosophy, London School of Economics
Print publication date: 2000 (this edition)
Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003
Print ISBN-13: 978-0-19-825037-1







doi:10.1093/0198250371.003.0010

Colin Howson
Abstract: Considers the nature of chance and its role in statistical hypotheses. It is argued that the best way to understand chance is as tendency, naturally measured by the frequency in repeated trials of the occurrence of the event in question. The relationship with von Mises's theory is briefly examined. It is shown how, via Bayes's Theorem, statistical data can support or undermine chance hypotheses even though there is no deductive relation between the hypotheses and the data.

Keywords: Bayes's theorem, chance, frequency, statistical hypotheses, Von Mises,

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