Swinburne, Richard Nolloth Professor of the Philosophy of the Christian Religion, University of Oxford
Print publication date: 1991 (this edition)
Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003
Print ISBN-13: 978-0-19-823963-5







doi:10.1093/0198239637.003.0004

Richard Swinburne
Abstract: An explanatory hypothesis (whether of the personal or scientific kind) is probable insofar as it makes probable the occurrence of many observed phenomena, the occurrence of which is not probable otherwise and insofar as it is simple and fits with background knowledge. This account of the probability of hypothesis is given precise form by Bayes's Theorem.

Keywords: Bayes's Theorem, explanation, probability, simplicity,

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