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Eichengreen, Barry
George C. Pardee and Helen N. Pardee Professor of Economics and Political Science University of California, Berkeley
Park, Yung Chul
Research Professor, Graduate School of International Studies, Seoul National University
Wyplosz, Charles
Professor, Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva
Print publication date: 2008 (this edition)
Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: May 2008 Print ISBN-13: 978-0-19-923588-9 |
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doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199235889.003.0001
Abstract: This chapter analyzes the implications of China's growth for global energy markets. It begins by imagining what China will look like two decades from now: China will be the world's second largest economy but still only a third the size of the United States. Its demand for energy will grow three times as fast as that of the United States and more than eight times as fast as that of Japan if current projections are to be believed. At this point it will be consuming one of every eight barrels of oil available worldwide. It will account for nearly 40% of global coal consumption, which is more troubling given the association of coal-based power generation with greenhouse gas emissions. It will depend on foreign sources for much of this energy. It is argued that this dependence on foreign sources, together with China's lack of a large navy and strong naval tradition, will incline it toward a cooperative rather than a confrontational approach to securing its energy supplies.
Keywords: energy demand, global energy market, energy consumption, energy supply, oil supply, cooperative approach,
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