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Brunnermeier, Markus K.
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Princeton University
Print publication date: 2001 (this edition)
Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003 Print ISBN-13: 978-0-19-829698-0 |
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doi:10.1093/0198296983.003.0006
Abstract: This chapter shows that herding can help to explain many empirical phenomena in finance, like stock market crashes. In a setting with widely dispersed information, even relatively unimportant news can lead to large price swings and crashes. Stock market crashes can also occur because of liquidity problems, bursting bubbles, and sunspots. Traders might also herd in information acquisition if they care about the short-term price path as well as about the long-run fundamental value. Under these circumstances all traders will try to gather the same piece of information. These models also provide a deeper understanding of Keynes’ comparison of the stock market with a beauty contest. Limits to arbitrage are discussed and it is shown that if investors focus on the short-run, corporate decision-making also becomes shortsighted. The chapter concludes with a brief summary of bank runs and its connection to financial crises.
Keywords: arbitrage, bank runs, beauty contest, bubbles, crashes, financial crises, herding, John Maynard Keynes, short-termism, sunspots,
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