Beyond Greed and Fear
Understanding Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing
Shefrin, Hersh Holds the Mario L. Belotti Chair in Finance, Leavey School of Business, Santa Clara University
Print publication date: 2002 (this edition)
Published to Oxford Scholarship Online: November 2003
Print ISBN-13: 978-0-19-516121-2







doi:10.1093/0195161211.003.0016

Hersh Shefrin
Abstract: There is general evidence that corporate executives exhibit hubris, that they are impressed with their own abilities. Since July 1996, the Financial Executives Institute and Duke University have been jointly surveying corporate executives on a quarterly basis. During the first two years of the survey, executives of companies whose stocks are publicly traded have consistently indicated that their companies were undervalued. Corporate decisions offer ample examples of heuristic-driven bias and frame dependence. In this chapter, I discuss several: excessive optimism, the illusion of control, gambler's fallacy, and loss aversion—the tendency to throw good money after bad. However, the primary bias involved in corporate takeovers is hubris, because it leads to the phenomenon of winner's curse, where the acquiring firm overpays for the target. The chapter describes the takeover of computer maker NCR by American Telephone and Telegraph (AT&T).

Keywords: acquirer, AT&T, aversion to a sure loss, hubris, mergers and acquisition, NCR, overconfidence, takeover, target,

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Part I What Is Behavioral Finance
Part II Prediction
Part III Individual Investors
Part IV Institutional Investors
Part V The Interface Between Corporate Finance and Investment
Part VI Options, Futures, and Foreign Exchange